I was this close (you can’t see, but I’m barely holding my pointer finger and thumb away from each other) to picking Miguel Cabrera’s prop last Friday over Fernando Tatis Jr.’s. They had the same prop, O/U 1.5 total hits + runs + RBIs, but I decided on Tatis.
I’m a Twins fan, and they tend to help players get out of their slumps, which is why I was highly considering Cabrera.
So what happened? Well, Cabrera went 2 for 2 with one run. Tatis went 0 for 4.
Below you’ll find three of my favorite prop picks for today’s games!
Prop Pick: Bryce Harper
Over/Under 0.5 Hits – OVER (90 Points)
Bryce Harper does occasionally go into slumps, however he rarely goes more than two games in a row without a hit. He currently is on a two game hitless streak.
Last year he had two such instances of more than two games in a row without a hit, and in 2020 he had four occurrences of that.
That’s not a huge sample size, but based off that, the odds are low he won’t get a hit.
Harper also hits right handers nearly 100 points higher than left handers (.315 vs .217). Today, the Nationals are expected to start Erick Fedde, a right handed pitcher, setting Harper up for a good chance of recording a hit.
Prop Pick: Jonathan Schoop
Embed from Getty Images
Over/Under 0.5 Runs – UNDER (90 Points)
Jonathan Schoop is not typically a high run producing player. He currently has 10 runs scored this year in 31 games played. The 10 runs ties him for 181st overall for all MLB players.
One saving grace, or potential chance to ruin this pick, is that recently the Tigers have been placing Schoop higher in the batting order.
Towards the start of the season he typically was hitting fifth, sixth, or seventh. Over the last couple weeks, he has been batting second or fourth, which equates to more chances to get on base.
I’m not buying that Schoop will score today, thus why I’m taking the under.
Prop Pick: Gleyber Torres
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Over/Under 1.5 Total (Hits + Runs) – UNDER (80 Points)
I had trouble finding a third prop I really like today. So if there is one of these three to ignore, it’s probably this one.
Torres has been a pretty consistent hitter this year whether he is facing a left hander or a right hander. However, he has struggled a bit more against left handed starting pitchers.
Today, the Yankees are facing Tampa Bay and Ryan Yardbrough, a leftie.
Torres and Yardbrough have faced each other nine times. Torres has one hit against him, but was also walked twice.
The matchup, plus the fact that Torres has hit this under in 18 of his 32 games this year, is why I’m picking the under.
If you would like more content from Charlie “Chip,” you can check out the sports podcast he co-hosts via LinkTree
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