We’re over a month into the MLB season and things are starting to take shape. Players are getting into their rhythms, while teams are hitting their strides. Please note, some teams are striding better than others.
With that in mind, it’s getting a little more predictable how players might perform. While nothing is a guarantee, I’m going to pick three of my favorite, albeit risky, prop picks for the MLB contests on Friday.
Prop Pick: Fernando Tatis Jr.
Over/Under 1.5 Total (Hits + Runs + RBIs) – OVER (95 Points)
By Tatis’s normal standards, he is underperforming a bit this season. He’s not awful, but not quite doing what he displayed in his previous two (shortened) seasons.
On Friday, The Padres take on the Giants who are planning to start Anthony DeSclafani, who has had a solid season on the mound thus far.
Tatis has faced DeSclafani just eight times in his young career, but only has one hit against him. The sole hit was a home run, and Tatis was walked two times as well.
While the points on this prop are favoring the over, I would not at all be surprised if Tatis gets the under. However, I am expecting Tatis to come alive soon, so why not today?
Prop Pick: Mitch Haniger
Embed from Getty Images
Over/Under 0.5 Hits – OVER (90 Points)
Like Tatis above, Haniger only has one career hit against the Texas Rangers probable starter, Mike Foltynewicz.
Haniger is a career .266 hitter, and after he and the Mariners were no-hit on Wednesday, I expect a bounce back game, for the whole team.
The game prior to the no-hit game, Haniger was also hitless. This season, he has not gone more than two games in a row without a hit, so just one hit should be obtainable today.
Prop Pick: Jameson Taillon
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Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts – UNDER (100 Points)
I’ve been trying to include at least one under each article I write, but it’s always more fun to write about overs.
Anyway, since I like stats, here are some stats: Behind Gerrit Cole’s team leading 66 strikeouts, Taillon is tied for second on the Yankees with 29 strikeouts.
That might seem encouraging for this matchup, but Taillon has already had five starts this season. Meaning he roughly averages six strikeouts per start.
He also has not pitched longer than five innings in a game since May 2019. He missed all of 2020 due to having a second Tommy John surgery.
Lastly, the Yankees’ opponent, The Nationals, have the second lowest strikeout rate while having the fifth highest team batting average.
If you would like more content from Charlie “Chip,” you can check out the sports podcast he co-hosts via LinkTree
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