I’ve been hitting a bit of a rough patch with my recent picks. I’m hoping a full slate of games with 20 props to choose from will help break the slump.
Below are three of my favorite props for Saturday’s MLB contests.
Prop Pick: Nelson Cruz
O/U 1.5 Total (Hits + RBIs) – OVER (120 Points)
I’m starting things off with a risky play! If there’s one thing I haven’t learned this season, it’s to pick my props cautiously. I like to live dangerously.
Nelson Cruz is an ageless wonder in baseball, and this season is no different. He currently is batting .405 with 4 HRs and 10 RBIs in just 12 games, and in three of those games he only had one at-bat due to the game being in a National League ballpark.
What’s even better is Cruz is batting .571 against lefties this season! And, you guess it, The Los Angeles Angels are starting Jose Quintana, a left-handed pitcher.
Quintana has had a very rough two starts this season allowing 10 hits and 9 earned runs in just a total of five innings pitched.
I expect Cruz to capitalize on this juicy matchup. Plus, he’s gone his longest stretch this season without a home run, so he’s overdue for one.
Prop Pick: Buster Posey
Embed from Getty Images
O/U 1.5 Total (Hits + Runs + RBIs) – UNDER (105 Points)
One of my favorite prop picks throughout the season has been when players have this specific prop. This combination of stats always entices me.
However, I am going against it this time and picking the under!
Buster Posey has had a nice return to baseball after opting out last summer for health concerns. One thing that isn’t so nice for him is his ability to hit right-handed pitchers.
Currently, Posey is posting a .154 batting average with five strikeouts in just 13 at-bats against righties this year.
The Marlins tentative starter is the young right-hander, Sandy Alcantara, who has been quietly steady for the Fish.
In most cases I would pick the over, but with Posey’s lack of hitting and tough pitching matchup today, I am feeling more comfortable with the under.
Prop Pick: Dallas Keuchel
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O/U 4.5 Strikeouts – Under (100 points)
Look at that, I’ve gone with two under picks for today! That’s a first. Hopefully it doesn’t come back to hurt me.
After a great season last year, Keuchel is, dare I say, flat out bad right now. In three starts he has given up 10 earned runs on 13 hits in just 14 innings pitched.
I will say, he has been slightly improving each game, but now he is facing the red hot Red Sox who finally lost a game after winning 9 straight games.
The Red Sox currently rank second in team batting average and are tied for the league lead in runs scored. They’re doing all this while ranking in the bottom third for strikeouts.
Keuchel has yet to have more than four strikeouts in a game this season, and I would be surprised if he gets more than that against Boston.
If you would like more content from Charlie “Chip,” you can check out the sports podcast he co-hosts via LinkTree
Head on over to ThriveFantasy and build your lineup for our $20 MLB Saturday – $2,000 Guaranteed Contest!