We nailed our Yankees picks last night, but Charlie Blackmon apparently couldn’t even muster 1.5 HITs + RBIs in 13 innings at Coors Field.
Let’s start with Gerrit Cole, who was an absolute smash against the Orioles. He struck out 13 over seven shutout innings, an easy Over to target at just 8.5.
His teammate, Aaron Judge, is off to a hot start to the season. He went 3-for-5 last night with a three-run homer and four RBI, another easy Over to get after.
Blackmon, however, went 0-for-5 with a walk and is off to a slow start to 2021, batting just .105/.227/.316. I don’t hate the process here, and it’s hard to discern trends this early in the season.
Either way, it’s on to Wednesday.
0.5 RBIs @ Miami — OVER (115 PTS)
Molina has looked comfortable at the plate thus far, hitting .313/.333/.375 with five RBI over 16 at-bats. He’s posted at least one RBI in four of five games, indicative of the Cardinals offense clicking in the early going.
Pablo Lopez is on the bump for Miami, and Molina has limited experience against the righthander. It was a limited sample size in 2020 (as it was for all players), but Molina actually performed significantly better against same-handed pitchers. He slashed .277/.304/.336 against righties and just .192/.300/.462 against lefties.
Needing just one RBI to hit the Over, Molina doesn’t need to have the best game of his career. He just needs to perform well with runners in scoring position.
0.5 RUNs vs. Baltimore — OVER (110 PTS)
As we’ve discussed, Yankees bats against Baltimore are seemingly always a good play. Wednesday night, Hicks is in an ideal position to score a run.
He’s primarily batted third this season, after Judge and before Giancarlo Stanton. That means he’s getting pitches to hit, but his patience at the plate also allows him to work pitchers. Hicks is not hitting well to start the season, but he’s walked three times.
John Means was excellent in his season debut, tossing a one-hitter through seven shutout innings against the Red Sox. This Yankees lineup is a bit deeper, though.
Take Hicks’ Over.
0.5 RUNs + RBIs @ New York — UNDER (105 PTS)
This is less of an indictment on Mancini and more of an indictment on the Orioles, which give Mancini very little support.
Without question, Mancini is one of the feel-good stories of the 2021 season and is someone fans of all teams should be rooting for. It’s unfortunate, though, that the Orioles provide very little protection behind him and get on base at a low clip in front of him.
With few chances to drive runs in and score runs himself, this seems like a safe Under call.
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