We’re going heavy on Yankees in today’s picks column, and for good reason — the Orioles are in town.
The O’s are still the O’s, even after starting the season 3-0. They ran into the Yankees in the Bronx Monday night and lost 7-0, and while hope always springs eternal in Baltimore, this is still the same anemic offense and same incapable pitching staff that we witnessed in 2020.
We won’t go 100 percent Yankees, though, in an effort to diversify lineups and target players who won’t be taking the field at Yankee Stadium tomorrow night.
Here’s who we’ve got queued up.
8.5 Ks vs. Baltimore — OVER (100 PTS)
Gerrit Cole against Baltimore is a lock 100 percent of the time. Even if he’s only getting 100 points for more than 8.5 strikeouts, you can sign me up.
Cole struck out eight batters while throwing 97 pitches against the Blue Jays, a much better lineup than the Orioles. In three starts against Baltimore last season, Cole struck out 26 batters over 19 2/3 innings.
The Yankees’ ace should roll through this Baltimore lineup Tuesday night, as it looks quite similar to what last year’s team was able to put on the field. Maikel Franco and Freddy Galvis are the notable additions, but they’re hardly menacing opponents at the dish.
Cole is in for a double-digit strikeout night.
1.5 BASEs vs. Baltimore — OVER (115 PTS)
Judge cranked his first homer of 2021 Monday night, and although he’s never faced probable Tuesday starter Dean Kremer, attacking Orioles pitching is always the correct move.
There might be some safe money on Gleyber Torres Monday, as he’s a notorious Orioles killer, but you won’t get rewarded for taking his Over like you will be for taking Judge’s. All Judge needs is two singles (or another blast over the wall) to earn a helpful 115 points.
Judge hit .290 over 31 at-bats at Yankee Stadium in 2020 (a shortened season made shorter by his injury woes), but he hits well — and he hits for power — at home. Of his nine hits in the Bronx, five were homers.
This is the perfect combination of upside and matchup. Take Judge’s Over.
1.5 HITs + RBIs vs. Arizona — OVER (120 PTS)
Always side with players playing at home — especially if they call Coors Field home.
Luke Weaver takes the ball for Arizona Tuesday night, and Blackmon is a modest 3-for-11 against him in his career. Blackmon has the platoon advantage in the matchup — a nice advantage to have — but above average hitters playing in Coors Field against just so-so pitchers are always players to target.
Blackmon cooled off considerably last year after what you might recall as a borderline historic start to the summer, hovering around the .400 mark for a month or so. Of course, the shortened season had its quirks, but that was one of them. At home, he hit .306/.347/.450 with three home runs and 26 RBI.
This all adds up to an easy lock. Play Blackmon’s Over.
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