Baseball is a difficult sport to have true upsets because teams play a game nearly every day from April through September. There’s bound to be good teams losing to bad teams throughout the season.
If there ever was an Opening Day of upsets, it might have been this season. A variety of teams that are supposed to be bad (Pirates, Tigers, Rockies), beat teams that are projected to be good (Cubs, Indians, Dodgers).
What does this mean for our prop picks? Not much, other than I shouldn’t be bad mouthing teams before the season even starts.
Below you’ll find three of my favorite prop picks for the first Sunday of baseball in the 2021 MLB season.
Prop Pick: Mike Trout
O/U 1.5 Total (Hits + Runs + RBIs) – OVER (95 Points)
The thing about baseball is every player, even the best players, have multiple games where they have a stat line full of zeroes. The key for props is trying to decide what day a player will have one of those off days.
Could Trout have one of those days on Sunday? Totally. Do I think he will? Probably not.
Mike Trout has been having a hot start to the season posting a total of three hits, two runs, and two RBIs in the first two games of the season.
With a combination of three stats in this prop, I think he has a good chance to achieve this over.
Prop Pick: Luis Robert
Embed from Getty Images
O/U 0.5 Total (Runs + RBIs) – OVER (90 points)
Through two games this season, the White Sox speedster has yet to have an RBI, but he has had one run scored in each game.
In 56 games last year, he had a total of 64 runs + RBIs, meaning he averaged at least one per game.
If Robert gets on base and someone behind him gets a hit, with his speed there’s a good chance he can score to fulfill this prop.
However, I’m going on a hunch for this one and saying Robert will get an RBI in this game.
Prop Pick: Matt Chapman
Embed from Getty Images
O/U 0.5 Runs – UNDER (90 Points)
Matt Chapman had a fairly eventful offseason. He had surgery on his hip and femur in September, and later signed a one year deal worth over $6,000,000.
He had an up and down Spring Training with the A’s, but overall he seemed to be trending in the right direction.
So far in the first two games of the regular season, Chapman has struggled at the plate. In six credited at-bats, he has struck out three times and does not have a hit.
There is definitely a difference from pre-season to regular season, and I think Chapman is finding that out right now. He could easily score a run, but with the way his season has started, I think he might need more games under his belt to get back into rhythm.
If you would like more content from Charlie “Chip,” you can check out the sports podcast he co-hosts via LinkTree
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