Seven games kick off an abbreviated week of NBA contests, as the league’s All-Star break begins Friday and goes through next Tuesday. Most teams don’t play again until at least next Thursday.
But that’s OK. There are four days this week to make money moves on Thrive Fantasy, and as always, I’ve got you covered on the smartest plays each night.
29.5 PTS vs. Indiana — OVER (95 PTS)
Joel Embiid’s February has been absolutely absurd. He closes the month with averages of 32.3 points, 11.5 rebounds, 3.8 assists, 1.4 blocks and 1.4 steals per game. He took 20.3 shots and 12.6 free throws per game and shot 49.2 percent from the floor, 42.9 percent from deep and 88.1 percent from the stripe.
Simply put, the dude was unstoppable.
That’s why I’m banking on at least 30 points against Indiana. The calendar flipping to March should mean nothing for his production, and Indiana isn’t capable of locking him down. Some combination of Myles Turner and Domantas Sabonis will primarily defend him, and he can easily handle both.
As long as the Sixers don’t have scoring depth, Embiid will take a lot of shots. And with his minutes, this is an easy play.
Take Embiid’s Over.
31.5 PTS + REBS + ASTS @ Chicago — OVER (105 PTS)
Jamal Murray’s been crazy impressive in February, and he’s hit at least 31.5 PTS + REBS + ASTS in nine straight games. Chicago plays at a high pace and is vulnerable defensively, so Murray could cook in this matchup. And he’ll need the points. While he’s not a total zero in rebounds and assists, he’s prone to the occasional letdown in either category.
For Murray to easily hit here, a 25-point game would be nice. He averaged 25.8 in February, so here’s to hoping that he can keep up that scoring pace. He took 18 shots per game and shot 51.4 percent from the floor last month, so his floor is pretty high.
Don’t think twice on this pick. For us to get over 100 points on a prop that Murray has exceeded nine games in a row seems too good to be true. Play the Over.
12.5 REBS + ASTS vs. Brooklyn — OVER (105 PTS)
DeMar DeRozan’s playing the Nets, so with the anticipated pace and offensive production his team should have against Brooklyn, we’re definitely not ignoring this prop.
DeRozan normally doesn’t contribute much in the rebound category, but he can ring it up to double-digit assists every now and again. A faster pace means more chances for rebounds, plus more offensive sets for assists. And more offensive sets against Brooklyn is generally a good thing, as the Nets defense (though slightly improved over the course of the past month) is still a sight for sore eyes.
If you follow my daily NBA columns, you know that I almost always target players against the Nets. Though this particular prop doesn’t include points, it’s offense adjacent. I like DeRozan’s chances here, so play his Over.
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