We were 3-for-3 Friday, correctly picking how Julius Randle, LeBron James and Collin Sexton would perform — and none of the props were particularly close. Lets carry that momentum into the new week.
There are seven games tonight, including four that start past 9 p.m. Eastern, and it’s looking like a fun slate to play. We’re taking a positive spin on things tonight, targeting three players who look to be in good positions to hit their Overs.
Let’s jump right into it.
7.5 REBS vs. Chicago — OVER (110 PTS)
He’s not much of a rebounder, but I’m liking Myles Turner’s chances tonight. Chicago plays at a high pace (104.2 possessions per game) and isn’t incredibly efficient on offense (109.6 points per 100 possessions), so that means more offensive opportunities that could result in missed shots.
Turner only played the Bulls once this year, record five rebounds in only 25 minutes because the Pacers won in a blowout. So let’s not concern ourselves with that outcome. Instead, let’s look at how the Bulls have faired the last three games on the glass.
The Bulls are losers of three straight, and they were out-rebounded in two of three.
An added bonus for Turner is that the Bulls will possibly be without Wendell Carter Jr., who is questionable Monday. He fills up a ton of space down low. Power forward Lauri Markkanen is also injured, so Turner could be in line for a big rebounding night.
Let’s take Turner’s Over.
13.5 REBS + ASTS vs. Cleveland — OVER (105 PTS)
Draymond Green contributes in solely the rebound and assist categories, and 13.5 combined surely looks like an easily obtainable total. We don’t normally rely just on averages, but in February, he’s averaging 7.6 rebounds and 11 assists per night — exceeding 13.5 in all seven games.
It’s a stark improvement from January, a month in which he only averaged 4.6 rebounds and 6.6 assists. But he’s also playing nearly eight more minutes per game in February, helping him see a bump in volume with more time on the floor.
This one doesn’t require much thought, to be honest. And the fact that you’ll be rewarded 105 PTS makes it even easier. That point total indicates a hint of risk. I don’t think it’s that risky at all.
Play the Over.
17.5 PTS vs. Brooklyn — OVER (110 PTS)
Harrison Barnes has been a fascinatingly frustrating player to pinpoint this season. His first three games of February were phenomenal (point totals of 24, 24 and 28, respectively), while his next four have been letdowns (4, 8, 13, 8, respectively). He’s taken fewer shots in the latter four games, but he’s also played similar minutes.
Let’s throw those last four games out the window here. All trends are moot when a player is going against the Nets, one of the most easily attackable defenses in the sport. Barnes doesn’t need to have a career-best performance here to exceed his prop total, either. He’s averaging 16.2 points per game, and those last four games have done nothing to help bring that average up.
Barnes shoots reasonably well from the floor and should get opportunities, despite what the last four games say. Against Brooklyn, any scorer is fair game. Smash his Over.
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