Twenty-two teams are in action tonight, making this NBA Friday one worth monitoring.
We’re slamming the Over on three guys tonight, banking on trends and a little bit of luck to come up with a winning lineup. Let’s jump right in and ride these picks to the top of a contest.
11.5 REBS @ Washington — OVER (110 PTS)
Washington has allowed an opposing player to get more than 11 rebounds in three of the past six games, and 11 rebounds or more in four of the past six. That’s as much to do with the individual player as it has to do with the Wizards, but it’s an example of how vulnerable the Wizards can be on the glass.
Randle is one of the league’s best rebounders, averaging 10.9 per game this season. Washington boasts a rebounding rate of 48.4 percent, which is tied for 23rd in the NBA. Even though Randle’s rebounding numbers are down in February compared to January, this is the ideal matchup for him to have a big night.
The pace of this game won’t be as slow as a typical Knicks game. The Knicks rank last in the league in pace, but Washington ranks first. In theory, that’ll leave this one’s pace somewhere right in the middle, giving Randle more opportunities to hit the glass.
Play the Over.
33.5 PTS + ASTS vs. Memphis — OVER (100 PTS)
The King is averaging 26.8 points and 9.8 assists per game in February. He has such a high floor when it comes to points (and to some degree, a high floor with assists), that this play isn’t much of a risk.
LeBron’s talent level and ceiling need no explanation. The big factor here is how he’s upped his game in February after a slow (by his standards) beginning to the season. A prop of 33.5 PTS + ASTS is something he can easily surpass on just points alone as well.
Memphis is a middle-of-the-road team in terms of pace and defensive efficiency, though James is matchup proof. He gets the minutes, the shot attempts and the usage. This is easy. Play the Over.
23.5 PTS @ Portland — OVER (110 PTS)
Collin Sexton has cooled off in February, and he’s coming off a season-worst four points on 1 of 9 shooting in a blowout loss to Denver. Enter Portland, the ideal matchup for a turnaround. Portland allows 113.1 points per 100 possessions, the third-highest total in the league. This is where Sexton can get back on track.
His scoring has dropped because his efficiency is trending in the wrong direction. That doesn’t mean he can’t right the ship. He hasn’t eclipsed 23.5 PTS in the last four games, but after Wednesday’s four-point performance, maybe he’ll have a little more motivation to get right.
This isn’t an outlandish play, although 110 points is a handsome reward for picking the Over. That’s what we’re going with.
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