Avoid the Super Bowl betting hangover by getting right back on the saddle Monday with an eight-game NBA slate.
While Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offensive line didn’t show up to play in last night’s blowout Super Bowl loss to the Buccaneers, I was here scheming the best NBA plays to get your week started right. (OK, I’ll admit I watched the game intently for the first half. But how could you blame me for shifting focus at that point?)
We’re kicking off this week’s NBA contests with a player potentially on the move, a fickle yet rewarding prop and guy who looks to be in a great spot to produce.
0.5 BLKS @ Memphis — OVER (110 PTS)
We generally avoid anything to do with blocks. But if you’re asking an athletic forward like Pascal Siakam to only get a single block for 110 points? I’m going to take those odds.
Siakam is absolutely not known for his shot blocking. He’s averaging 0.6 per game, which means he’s blocked just 12 shots this year. But he’s 6’9″ with length, and he’s on the floor a ton (35.9 minutes per game).
There’s really not much more to say here. Just one block? Lock in the Over.
19.5 PTS @ Charlotte — UNDER (105 PTS)
The NBA trade deadline isn’t until March 25, but there are already reports circulating that Victor Oladipo could be on the move again. Oladipo has been inconsistent with the Rockets, though he’s a valuable scoring guard and could be a final piece on a team looking to make a push.
But let’s talk about that inconsistency.
In three February games, Oladipo has struggled mightily. He’s shooting 33.3 percent (with a high of 37.5 percent) and barely getting to the free-throw line. His minutes aren’t much different than normal, but he’s in a bit of a shooting funk right now. And you know what we do when that happens.
Smash the Under on Oladipo against Charlotte, if only because he’s been playing poorly on offense. Could he break out of it Monday night? Maybe. But let’s play the trends.
8.5 REBS + ASTS vs. Milwaukee — OVER (105 PTS)
Jamal Murray is averaging exactly 8.5 REBS + ASTS per game. He’s playing an incredible volume of minutes (35.1 minutes per game), and even though Denver plays at a slower pace, a matchup with Milwaukee should quicken the tempo.
The Bucks are sixth in the league with 104.1 possessions per game, so Murray could be a little more active than normal. More possessions means more assist chances, but it also means more misses. Murray’s rebounding numbers have risen slightly since a poor stretch on the boards in the middle of January, and a player with the ball in his hands as much as Murray is surely to stumble upon a few assists over the course of a game.
Lock in the Over and start your Monday off right.
For more sports opinions and other rants about things you probably don’t care about, follow Kenny DeJohn on Twitter.
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