It’s just a three-game NBA slate tonight, so we’re doing something a little out of the ordinary — we’re sticking with one game.
It’s a risky proposition. The variance within one game makes props for one player enough of a risk. But to play three guys from the same game? It’s pretty uncommon. Crazy things can happen on short slates, though, and differentiating yourself from the competition is usually the name of the game on a quiet night.
Give these three guys a shot in your lineups tonight.
11.5 REBS vs. New York — OVER (90 PTS)
One of the premier rebounders in the game, asking Rudy Gobert to get 11-plus rebounds isn’t out of the ordinary. He’s had at least 12 rebounds in seven of 12 games this month and at least 11 rebounds in 10 of 12 games.
The Knicks don’t have anyone of particular consequence who can match Gobert’s length, though Randle has proven to be an adept rebounder this season at just 6-8.
A Jan. 6 meeting between these teams was an outlier, in my opinion. The Knights won 112-100, with Randle bringing down 16 boards and Mitchell Robinson tallying 14. Gobert was the Jazz’s top rebounder with 11.
The Jazz were just outplayed in that one, and I like Gobert’s chances at a big night Tuesday. Go Over.
34.5 PTS + REBS + ASTS vs. New York — OVER (100 PTS)
Donovan Mitchell had a rough night back on Jan. 6. He finished with 18 points, four rebounds and four assists on 8 of 23 shooting, another example of Utah simply being outplayed.
Mitchell has played much better since. He’s exceeded 34.5 PTS + REBS + ASTS in three straight games, helped by uncharacteristically strong rebounding numbers (he’s had seven in three straight games) and a strong shooting percentage (60 percent, 57.9 percent and 50 percent in those three games, respectively).
Utah has won eight straight, and Mitchell is a catalyst on that run. Bank on the Over here.
24.5 PTS @ Utah — OVER (110 PTS)
Randle has struggled considerably from the field in January, showing a fair amount of inconsistency masked by his exemplary free-throw shooting numbers.
In his last four games, he’s shooting just 37.2 percent from the floor, which is slightly inflated because of Friday’s game in which he shot 47.1 percent. We can live with 47.1 percent, and with his level of involvement in the Knicks offense, he can easily produce a high point total if he shoots anywhere close to 50 percent from the field.
He’s been getting to the line quite a bit and shoots roughly 80 percent from the line. He scored 30 against the Jazz in early January on 38.5 percent shooting, so I like Randle’s chances even while he’s mired in this mini slump.
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