The NBA gets going in the afternoon on MLK Day, but tonight’s ThriveFantasy action focuses on the four evening games. And we’re doing something a little unorthodox tonight.

We’re going Over on three stars all with the same point total.

Yes, if there’s any “safe” way to bet an Over, it’s to put your money on the superstars of the league. After all, they’re the guys who can go off on any given night. But for one reason or another, these guys aren’t facing outlandish prop totals Monday night.

Add some excitement to your Monday and get a little risky.

Kevin Durant
8.5 REBS vs. Milwaukee — OVER (110 PTS)

Take a look at the Nets roster after the James Harden trade? Who is supposed to rebound on this team?

DeAndre Jordan is hardly the monster on the glass he once was. Reggie Perry or Jeff Green? Yeah, not happening. And sure, James Harden had 12 boards in his historic first game as a Net, but to expect anything close to that moving forward is probably foolish.

Enter Kevin Durant, the tallest guy on the roster and someone who can clean up on the boards because of his athleticism if he asserts himself down low. And because the Nets need it to win, he might have to do a little more on the glass.

He’s eclipsed 8.5 rebounds in four of his 10 games, but now it’s a necessity. For that, take the risk and go Over.

DeMarcus Cousins
1.5 BLKS + STLS @ Chicago — OVER (110 PTS)

DeMarcus Cousins’ minutes have been all over the map. Eight minutes one night, 18 the next two. The average is roughly 14 minutes per game, so let’s just assume he plays around that much tonight.

Blocks and steals are both tough to rely on, as we’ve detailed in the past. But for a sound defender like Cousins, asking for a total of two from those categories is far from impossible.

It’s on the unlikely side of outcomes, evidenced by the point total associated with the Over, but Houston needs Boogie on the floor now more than ever with the departure of Harden.

Give the Over a shot tonight.

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LeBron James
27.5 PTS vs. Golden State — OVER (110 PTS)

In his 18th season in the NBA, LeBron James is averaging the second-fewest points per game of his career. At 24.1 points, James has only scored less during his rookie campaign (20.9 points).

He has a soft opponent Monday night, though, facing a Golden State team ranked second in pace (107.1 possessions per game) and middle of the pack in defensive efficiency (107.7 points allowed per 100 possessions).

James is questionable Monday night because of his left ankle sprain, but he’s yet to miss time because of that injury. If you’re going to risk taking an Over, might as well be wise and take that chance on arguably still the best player in the league.

Go Over.

For more sports opinions and other rants about things you probably don’t care about, follow Kenny DeJohn on Twitter.

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