After an eventful Wild Card round and a week-long wait, we are now entering another action-packed weekend of football! As we advance through the playoffs to move one week closer to the Super Bowl, cherish every moment of every game as football will be over before you know it! Make sure you take advantage of the little football that remains to win some money by placing your prop bet picks for Saturday’s NFL contest.
J.K. Dobbins – OVER 0.5 Rushing + Receiving Touchdowns (80 PTS)
If you’re looking for a sure-fire safe bet Saturday, Dobbins over 0.5 rushing or receiving touchdowns is a no-brainer. Dobbins has emerged as the Raven’s lead back, scoring a touchdown in 7 straight games.
Luckily for Dobbins and the Ravens’ rushing attack, the Bills’ defense struggles to stop the run. During the regular season, the Bills allowed 4.6 YPC and 119.6 rushing yards per game. Indeed, the Bills’ 28th ranked red zone defense is about as bad as it gets, allowing a 65.5% touchdown conversion rate.
Looking back at the Wild Card round, the Colts ran for 163 yards, 5.4 YPC and 1 touchdown against the Bills. So, the Ravens should be able to run the ball effectively and score, which means Dobbins is in for a big game Saturday. Though it doesn’t offer crazy value, points are points, so take Dobbins over 0.5 rushing or receiving touchdowns!
Cam Akers – OVER 85.5 Rushing Yards (110 PTS)
Now this is a little risky, but hear me out. Last week Cam Akers went off for 131 yards on 28 carries versus the Seahawks, whose run defense allowed the 5th fewest rushing yards per game (95.6) in the regular season.
Because he was able to gash one of the best run defenses in the NFL, Akers is due for another big game versus the Green Bay Packers on Saturday. During the regular season, the Packers’ run defense allowed 112.8 YPG (13th) and 4.5 YPC (21st). I realize that Green Bay shut down Derrick Henry back in week 16, but given Jared Goff’s injury and inability to pass the ball effectively, the Rams will likely rely on Akers once again. Roll the dice and take Akers over 85.5 rushing yards!
Marquise Brown – OVER 57.5 Receiving Yards (100 PTS)
Despite having a slow start to the season, Marquise Brown is finally playing at an elite level and has once again emerged as Lamar Jackson’s favorite pass-catching target. Brown had a very productive Wild Card game versus the Titans, racking up 7 receptions for 109 yards. But how does Brown match up against the Buffalo Bills’ secondary? The Bills have a very solid pass defense and held opposing teams to 232.9 passing yards per game during the regular season. However, they struggled last week, giving up 309 passing yards to the Indianapolis Colts.
The major concern for Brown will be second-team All-Pro corner Tre’Davious White. Even though White is one of the best CBs in the NFL, he rarely shadows receivers. In fact, given that Brown actually played 316 snaps out of the slot this year, his versatility should allow him to steer clear of White. With the total of this game currently set at 50.0, expect both teams’ offenses to move the ball effectively. Take Brown over 57.5 receiving yards!
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