An eight-game NBA slate with some big names on the docket make Wednesday night intriguing in the Daily Fantasy Props world.
As always, be mindful of late scratches. These are projections based on what we think will happen and who we think will play, but especially in this world of COVID, things can change at the drop of a hat.
If the following players are active, feel confident locking in these Over/Unders. If they’re inactive, do a quick bit of research and make educated selections as your replacements.
25.5 PTS @ Detroit — OVER (95 PTS)
Giannis Antetokounmpo scored just 22 points in his last game, but that was in a 121-99 blowout win over the Pistons in which he also played just 27 minutes. He’s lighting it up this month, averaging 30.8 points per game.
He’s played in seven games this season that we would not consider a blowout, and in those games, he’s scored at least 26 points in six of them. The Bucks have other scoring options, but Antetokounmpo is still the go-to guy (that should go without saying).
Milwaukee plays the sixth-highest pace in the NBA, and while Detroit is on the slower end, the Bucks should be able to dictate the tempo in this one.
This isn’t much of a risk, but lock in the Over and get what appears to be a free 95 points.
7.5 REBS + ASTS vs. Brooklyn — UNDER (115 PTS)
Mitchell Robinson has been the king of the outlier in terms of rebounding this year. He has three double-digit rebounding games and eight single-digit games. In those eight games, his average is 7.7. He also has just five assists all season.
If you play the Over here, you’re banking on Robinson getting lucky with an assist or two. And while that is certainly possible over the course of an NBA game, the focus here should very clearly be on the rebounding. He’ll be matched against Nets center Jarrett Allen, who has elevated his game to new heights in 2021.
Allen’s 10.4 rebounds per game rank 10th in the NBA, making this a very tough matchup for Robinson. Sure, Robinson is playing big minutes this month (specifically the last two games, in which he’s played 34 and 33 minutes, respectively), but the matchup here is a tough one.
Take a bit of a risk and reap the rewards by going Under.
15.5 PTS @ Oklahoma City — UNDER (110 PTS)
Dennis Schroder has scored fewer than 15 points in five of his seven games in January, including six-point and eight-point games in which he played regular minutes. His shooting percentage has fallen off a cliff since December, when he converted 50.7 percent of his attempts. In January, he’s shooting 38.1 percent from the floor.
Overall, Schroder hasn’t played particularly well. His PER of 12.06 is beyond the top 150 players in the league. While he’s playing this poorly, you shouldn’t be comfortable banking on his Over in basically any major category.
LeBron James and Anthony Davis do most of the scoring. We know this. Schroder is there to provide a little bit of relief and knock down open shots. Unfortunately for the Lakers, he’s not hitting those shots right now.
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