Might as well start your week with some NBA props, right?
It’s an eight-game slate this Monday night, and while COVID-related issues continue to ravage some NBA rosters, we’re banking on these players to see the floor and produce. As always, be sure to check the players you selected just before lineups lock in the case of late developments regarding injuries, COVID and whatever else could pop up during the day.
Without further ado, let’s check out who the best plays are tonight on ThriveFantasy.
*Note: All stats current as of Sunday at 10 p.m. EST.
18.5 REBS + ASTS vs. New Orleans — OVER (105 PTS)
Doncic has been a monster on the glass in January. He’s bringing down 12.8 rebounds per game this month, significantly better than his 5.8 mark from December. He’s also had double-digit assists in three straight games, so it looks like the Over is an easy pick here.
Both New Orleans and Dallas play at a slow pace (25th and 26th in the NBA, respectively), but Doncic has been putting up these numbers despite the Mavericks’ tempo.
It looks like Kristaps Porzingis will be back Monday night, so that could potentially clog the paint a bit. But consider how COVID has impacted the rest of the roster — Maxi Kleber, Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Richardson and Jalen Brunson are all out — and Doncic appears to be in a good place to do a little bit of everything for the Mavs, just as he often does.
Play the Over.Embed from Getty Images
27.5 PTS + REBS + ASTS @ Sacramento — OVER (105 PTS)
Indiana’s averaging 102.3 possessions per game — tied for 19th in the NBA, but it’s not an unreasonably low amount. And Sacramento is hardly better.
But in this situation, we’re making this pick based entirely on the opponent. The Kings have allowed a 30-point scorer in four straight games, and with Oladipo as good a candidate as any to go off, points could carry him here.
If Oladipo drops 20 points, the Over here is looking pretty safe. It’s not a huge risk, as you can easily leverage this with one or two of the safer picks on tonight’s slate. But take a shot on Oladipo as a key cog of the dynamic Pacers offense.
9.5 REBS vs. Toronto — UNDER (105 PTS)
Nurkic’s rebounding numbers are a bit down from last season, when he averaged 10.3 boards per game. His current mark of 7.8 per game is his lowest since 2016-17. He’s also playing just 24.6 minutes per game, the least he’s played since 2016-17.
It could just be a slow start to the season, but this appears to be adding up to a slightly diminished role for Nurkic than we’ve become accustomed to seeing. Add a matchup with Pascal Siakam, not exactly a savvy rebounder but certainly a strong defender and an athletic opponent, and Nurkic could potentially struggle on the glass against the Raptors.
Enes Kanter is the rebounding center on this roster as of right now. Nurkic has his moments, but this won’t be one of them. Play the Under.
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