Early on, it didn’t seem possible. But here we are — it’s the NFL playoffs.
The season was certainly unlike any other, with some players missing games with positive COVID tests and others missing games for simply being in close contact. And while one player highlighted below still hasn’t been given the green light because of COVID-19, we’re still going to take a look at his chances for hitting the over in Sunday’s Wild Card round.
There aren’t many more game days left to make money this NFL season, so capitalize while you can.
195.5 Pass YDS @ Tennessee — UNDER (105 PTS)
The Titans can be beaten through the air — they’ve allowed the fourth-most passing yards in the NFL this season — but Jackson hasn’t exactly been slinging the ball around the field lately. He’s eclipsed 195.5 passing yards once in the last six games and just five times all season.
He completed 17 of 29 passes for 186 yards in Week 10 against the Titans.
The Ravens run the ball more than any other team, putting the ball on the ground 55.89 percent of the time, according to teamrankings.com. If all goes according to the Ravens’ plans on Sunday, it’ll be that same recipe.
The only way Jackson reaches the Over is if Baltimore’s down big and Jackson needs to play catch-up. Play the Under.
116.5 Rush YDS + Rec YDS vs. Chicago — OVER (105 PTS)
This is obviously contingent upon Kamara taking the field, as he missed last weekend’s game after multiple COVID-19 tests came back positive. It’s still unclear if he’ll play against the Bears, but if he does, make sure you smash the Over.
Kamara averaged 112.5 yards from scrimmage per game this season, and his 1,688 yards from scrimmage rank third in the league. Consider that most of his work has been done without Drew Brees under center and without Michael Thomas on the outside to take off the pressure, and Kamara has been doing most of the heavy lifting.
With Brees back on Sunday and Thomas back at practice, Kamara could be in line for a big day. When he played Chicago in Week 7, he totaled 163 yards.
61. 5 Rec YDS vs. Cleveland — OVER (100 PTS)
Ben Roethlisberger didn’t play in Week 17, yielding to Mason Rudolph. So let’s throw Johnson’s Week 17 stats out the window.
When Roethlisberger is under center and Johnson is healthy, the wideout is a target machine. Pittsburgh has thrown more passes (656) than any team in the league, and Johnson totaled 27 targets between Weeks 15 and 16.
Are drops a problem for the Toledo product? Yes, they are. But getting open is more important than drops, and Johnson is very good at doing just that.
With 10-plus targets on Sunday, Johnson should crush the Over.
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