Super Wild Card Weekend continues into Sunday! We have three more games on the slate, which means more props to choose, and more contests to enter!
*The term “fade” generally refers to avoiding a specific player in fantasy. For this article I am “fading” certain prop bets.Embed from Getty Images
Baltimore Ravens @ Tennessee Titans
Favorite Prop: J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore RB
O/U 65.5 Rushing Yards – OVER (110 pts)
This game could honestly go either way, but one thing that is certain is both these teams will run. A lot. Baltimore comes in with the most team rushing yards on the season, and has averaged over 270 rush yards in their last three games! Tennessee ranks in the bottom half or bottom third in rushing defense. Baltimore shouldn’t have issues moving the ball on the ground.
I am a bit concerned that the Ravens basically have 4 guys they use to run the ball with Lamar Jackson being the main runner. Mark Engram and Gus Edwards will also cut into Dobbins’s workload, but I think there are enough chances for him to get over 65.5 yards.
Favorite Fade: A.J. Brown, Tennessee WR
O/U 4.5 Receptions
4.5 catches from the team’s leading receiver seems like it should be easy to achieve the over. A.J. Brown has not had a game this season with less than 4 catches, however he’s had exactly 4 catches in 6 of his 14 games. If the Titans get down, they will need to pass with A.J. Brown and Corey Davis being the likely targets for Ryan Tannehill. I think picking the OVER is going to be a popular choice here, and for that reason, I’m fading it.
Chicago Bears @ New Orleans Saints
Favorite Prop: Allen Robinson, Chicago WR
O/U 75.5 Receiving Yards – UNDER (105 pts)
I am fully prepared for this one to blow up in my face, but hear me out. Chicago is going to try all they can to keep this game how they want – low scoring and good defense. David Montgomery has been a beast the last half of the season. Chicago will want to roll with the hot hand here, and avoid the cold hands of Mitchell Trubisky.
Favorite Fade: Mitchell Trubisky, Chicago QB
O/U 0.5 Interceptions
Whenever a prop pertains to “number of interceptions a quarterback will throw,” I like to avoid it. Yes, Trubisky is very turnover prone – he’s actually had more games with an INT this year than without one. Picking the over in this case is only worth 75 points, and is not worth the risk to me.Embed from Getty Images
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Favorite Prop: Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh QB
O/U 251.5 Passing Yards – OVER (100 pts)
Quick quiz: Which team ranked last in team rushing yards, yards per carry, and therefore last in rush yards/game this season? Answer: The Steelers. Roethlisberger had a week off last week, and the Browns rank 22nd in pass defense. Should be a high passing day for the Steelers as long as the game stays close.
Favorite Fade: Jarvis Landry, Cleveland WR
O/U 0.5 Receiving Touchdowns
If you haven’t noticed by now, I tend to shy away from props dealing with a player scoring a single touchdown, especially a wide receiver. Landry only has 3 touchdowns all season, and in 7 career games against the Steelers he has exactly 1 receiving touchdown. The obvious choice would be pick the under, but at only 75 points, the value isn’t there.
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